Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.021290 0.022895 0.024563 0.026429 0.028458 0.030600 0.033035
2026-01-11 0.018698 0.021016 0.023551 0.026534 0.029957 0.033772 0.038359
2026-01-18 0.016944 0.019675 0.022774 0.026563 0.031091 0.036350 0.042955
2026-01-25 0.015718 0.018738 0.022268 0.026722 0.032225 0.038842 0.047462
2026-02-01 0.014534 0.017710 0.021517 0.026452 0.032723 0.040489 0.050933
2026-02-08 0.013469 0.016728 0.020721 0.026017 0.032918 0.041692 0.053828
2026-02-15 0.012665 0.016002 0.020175 0.025828 0.033365 0.043185 0.057130
2026-02-22 0.011925 0.015304 0.019606 0.025548 0.033641 0.044421 0.060110
2026-03-01 0.011303 0.014718 0.019139 0.025356 0.033992 0.045742 0.063245
2026-03-08 0.010747 0.014183 0.018702 0.025164 0.034310 0.047004 0.066335
2026-03-15 0.010334 0.013815 0.018463 0.025220 0.034958 0.048739 0.070185
2026-03-22 0.009898 0.013392 0.018122 0.025105 0.035339 0.050089 0.073520
2026-03-29 0.009493 0.013007 0.017836 0.025080 0.035889 0.051778 0.077577
2026-04-05 0.009148 0.012692 0.017633 0.025166 0.036610 0.053765 0.082246
2026-04-12 0.008812 0.012371 0.017402 0.025191 0.037229 0.055619 0.086813
2026-04-19 0.008537 0.012124 0.017263 0.025340 0.038036 0.057795 0.092033
2026-04-26 0.008171 0.011724 0.016877 0.025085 0.038187 0.058926 0.095566
2026-05-03 0.007789 0.011283 0.016409 0.024676 0.038062 0.059588 0.098325
2026-05-10 0.007493 0.010958 0.016100 0.024498 0.038293 0.060837 0.102167
2026-05-17 0.007195 0.010618 0.015750 0.024235 0.038364 0.061810 0.105571
2026-05-24 0.006936 0.010325 0.015462 0.024054 0.038557 0.062990 0.109411
2026-05-31 0.006692 0.010047 0.015184 0.023873 0.038735 0.064147 0.113272
2026-06-07 0.006515 0.009867 0.015051 0.023926 0.039311 0.066022 0.118600